51�������

Abstract:

In the coming years, the Vera Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time (Rubin-LSST) and the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope’s (Roman) High Latitude Time Domain Survey (HLTDS) are expected to discover more than a million Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia), several orders of magnitude more than current samples and with a tighter control on systematic uncertainties. One of the largest systematic uncertainties in cosmological analyses with SNe Ia is the accuracy of the spectrophotometric model for SNe Ia time series data, which depends on the photometric calibration of the surveys. To quantify the impact of this uncertainty, we analyze simulated Rubin-LSST and HLTDS data, perturb the photometric zero-points and filter mean wavelengths, and propagate these systematics to spectral model recovery, estimated distances, and dark energy Figure of Merit (FoM) based on the w0waCDM model. Zero-point shifts of 5 mmag and filter mean wavelength shifts of 5 Å lead to a ∼50% decrease in the FoM relative to a statistical-only case when calibration uncertainties are propagated only through light-curve fitting. The same calibration shifts applied only during model training produce a smaller ∼13% degradation. Contrary to previous analyses, calibration uncertainties in light-curve fitting dominate over those from model training. Their effect during light-curve fitting varies smoothly with redshift and is nearly degenerate with cosmology, preventing mitigation through self-calibration. Finally, we show that the FoM dependence on the size of the calibration uncertainties (in the range of expected sizes) is roughly linear.

Abstract:

Abstract On 2025 August 18, the LIGO – Virgo – KAGRA collaboration reported S250818k, a subthreshold gravitational-wave (GW) candidate consistent with a binary neutron star (NS) merger potentially involving a subsolar-mass NS. Optical follow-up by the Zwicky Transient Facility identified a transient temporally coinciding with the GW trigger that initially resembled a kilonova but was later classified as a young stripped-envelope Type IIb supernova (SN), dubbed SN 2025ulz. A key question is whether SN 2025ulz harbors fast, possibly collimated, nonthermal ejecta indicative of a central engine, as invoked in “superkilonova” scenarios linking subsolar-mass NSs to accretion-disk fragmentation or core fission. We present early-to-late-time multiband radio observations of SN 2025ulz obtained with the Karl G. Jansky Very Large Array as part of the JAGWAR program, complemented by observations with the upgraded Giant Metrewave Radio Telescope and MeerKAT. We detect a faint but significant radio counterpart to SN 2025ulz at 6−10 GHz. The data are consistent with nonthermal emission from SN ejecta interacting with circumstellar material. Our data are also consistent with emission from an off-axis jet peaking at ∼50−100 days after the GW trigger. While we cannot distinguish between these two interpretations, our radio detection motivates future systematic multiwavelength follow-up of core-collapse events coinciding with subsolar NS GW candidates, should the association between S250818k and SN 2025ulz be supported by offline GW analyses.

Abstract:

Abstract The physics governing the morphology of radio-loud AGN jets is not fully understood. We investigate how magnetization, flickering jet power and their interplay affects the morphology of radio galaxies. We present a grid of relativistic magnetohydrodynamic simulations using the PLUTO code covering constant and variable jets with two levels of magnetisation. We find that the constant high magnetisation jets can lead to highly asymmetrical cocoon morphologies, whilst the variable high magnetisation jet can exhibit a broken morphology, caused by a discontinuous jet beam. Our work highlights the importance of magnetisation and variability on the stability and resulting morphology of radio-loud AGN jets, suggesting both are significant factors in addition to jet power or environment. Furthermore, we show that the interaction between magnetisation and variability can lead to the development of localised kink instabilities along the jet beam. Finally, we discuss the effects of hydrodynamic mixing in low magnetisation jets and the role of viewing angle dependence in comparisons between our simulations and observed sources. To facilitate this comparison we present a library of simulated radio images at different times in the simulations and from various viewing angles, which highlight a diverse set of complex morphologies.