51�������

Abstract:

Abstract The impact of anthropogenic aerosols on the mean, spatial, and temporal distribution of precipitation remains a persistent source of uncertainty in climate research. In particular, absorbing aerosols are known to influence cloud formation and precipitation in ways that are not yet fully understood. On average, warming induced by absorbing aerosols is balanced by reduced latent heating from precipitation, so the atmospheric energy budget constrains mean precipitation. This constraint does not apply to spatial or temporal patterns, making the impact of absorbing aerosols on these aspects more uncertain. A recent idealized study suggests that absorbing aerosols can trigger a transition to episodic precipitation, where rainfall occurs in intense, short‐lived events followed by extended dry periods. This transition resembles a previously reported shift under hothouse climate conditions. Specifically, lower tropospheric radiative heating from absorbing aerosols decouples the lower and upper troposphere, suppressing convection for multiple days. During these dry periods, instability builds up until a strong rain event occurs. In this paper, we build on this previous work to further investigate the effects of absorbing aerosols on precipitation characteristics and extremes. We conduct a hierarchy of model simulations that incorporate online aerosol–radiation coupling, the diurnal cycle of solar radiation, convective aggregation in a large‐domain, and large‐scale tropical circulation in a mock Walker simulation. Our results show that the transition to episodic precipitation events under absorbing aerosol perturbation is robust and occurs across all model configurations. We also examine the role of diurnal solar radiation variations and large‐scale circulation in shaping this transition.

Abstract:

Context . Young transiting exoplanets provide unique opportunities to probe planetary atmospheres during critical early phases of evolution when atmospheric escape and contraction are most active. HIP 67522 b, a 17 Myr old hot Jupiter with an extraordinarily low bulk density (<0.20 g cm −3 ), represents an ideal target for high-resolution transmission spectroscopy. Aims . We aim to constrain the mass and characterise the atmospheric composition, thermal structure, and dynamics of HIP 67522 b using ground-based high-resolution near-infrared spectroscopy with VLT/CRIRES+, complementing recent JWST observations. Methods . We obtained 92 high-resolution spectra ( R ≈ 10 5 ) with VLT/CRIRES+ in the K2166 band during a transit on 30 January 2025. We applied cross-correlation techniques and Bayesian nested sampling retrievals to constrain molecular abundances, temperature structure, and atmospheric dynamics. Results . We detected H 2 O at 20σ and CO at 5σ, confirming the extremely extended atmosphere of this low-mass giant. A velocity offset of −2.9 ± 0.2 km s −1 indicates day-to-night winds. The rotation velocity has been constrained to <1.8 km s −1 at 3σ, consistent with tidal locking. The retrieval analysis suggests a planetary mass of 27.7 −5.5 +5.9 Earth masses and statistically favours a two-temperature atmospheric structure with a discrete change at mbar pressures over an isothermal profile. This mass is twice as high as the mass estimated from JWST atmospheric observations and inconsistent at 3 σ , casting doubt on the actual planetary density of the planet. No matter the choice of atmospheric model, we derived a supersolar C/O ratio that is about 1.5 times solar, along with a supersolar metallicity that might further increase if the atmosphere is cloudy, which is a degeneracy that our data alone cannot resolve. We report a tentative 2 σ detection of HDO with an extreme enrichment factor of ∼1000 relative to the protosolar D/H ratio. If confirmed, this would be the first detection of deuterium in an exoplanet atmosphere and would require an intense escape rate to confirm its presence.

Abstract:

Despite its proximity, the mass of the supermassive black hole (SMBH) in the spiral galaxy M81 (NGC 3031) has remained a subject of discussion, with doubts previously cast on the reliability of available dynamical measurements. We present the first robust stellar-dynamics measurement of its mass using high-resolution, two-dimensional kinematics from JWST/NIRSpec observations of the central 3″ × 3″. By tracing stellar motions in the near-infrared, our data penetrate the obscuring nuclear dust and allow for the separation of stellar light from the nonthermal AGN continuum. We modeled the kinematics using the Jeans anisotropic modelling method. Rather than relying on a standard Bayesian approach for error estimation, we constructed a suite of 24 independent models, each employing a unique combination of different physical assumptions regarding stellar mass-to-light (M/L) ratio gradients, the point-spread function, the masking of the central active galactic nucleus, and the orientation of the velocity ellipsoid. This ensemble approach allows us to robustly account for the impact of systematic uncertainties. To estimate our systematic uncertainties, we performed a bootstrap of the MBH values derived from these 24 models, thereby incorporating the variance between different physical assumptions. Our analysis yields a precise SMBH mass of MBH = (4.77 ± 0.37) × 107 M⊙ (1σ confidence, including systematic and statistical uncertainties). This result is consistent with previous determinations within their uncertainties, while providing a crucial and highly reliable anchor point for SMBH–galaxy scaling relations in spiral galaxies.

Abstract:

We present three-dimensional Dedalus simulations of Rayleigh–Bénard convection with a blackbody-radiating free upper surface, subject to a low-amplitude oscillatory forcing that mimics tidal perturbations in convective envelopes of stars and planets. The forcing period is 10–100 times shorter than the convective time-scale, . Using a Reynolds decomposition of the velocity field averaged over one oscillation period, in which the tidal oscillations naturally constitute the fluctuating field and convection the mean flow, we elucidate the kinetic energy exchange between the two. Provided the oscillatory Reynolds number exceeds a modest threshold, we find that the oscillations systematically transfer kinetic energy to the mean flow at a volume-averaged rate , where is the rms fluctuation velocity. This reflects strong, order-unity correlations between the fluctuation velocities and the mean flow. These arise because the oscillatory forcing displaces fluid elements that are then redirected by buoyancy and incompressibility in the same manner as the mean flow. The transfer is dominated by correlations involving vertical velocity fluctuations and vertical gradients of the mean flow. The resulting energy transfer rate is consistent, within the equilibrium-tide framework, with the observed tidal circularization of solar-type binaries and with the orbital evolution of moons of Jupiter and Saturn. This validates the formalism proposed by C. Terquem (2021) for the dissipation of fast tides, a long-standing problem. Replacing the free surface with a rigid upper boundary significantly and artificially modifies the correlations.