Surface-to-space atmospheric waves from Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai eruption

Nature Springer Nature 609 (2022) 741-746

Authors:

Corwin J Wright, Neil P Hindley, M Joan Alexander, Mathew Barlow, Lars Hoffmann, Cathryn N Mitchell, Fred Prata, Marie Bouillon, Justin Carstens, Cathy Clerbaux, Scott Osprey, Nick Powell, Cora E Randall, Jia Yue

Abstract:

The January 2022 Hunga Tonga–Hunga Haʻapai eruption was one of the most explosive volcanic events of the modern era1,2, producing a vertical plume which peaked > 50km above the Earth3. The initial explosion and subsequent plume triggered atmospheric waves which propagated around the world multiple times4. A global-scale wave response of this magnitude from a single source has not previously been observed. Here we show the details of this response, using a comprehensive set of satellite and ground-based observations to quantify it from surface to ionosphere. A broad spectrum of waves was triggered by the initial explosion, including Lamb waves5,6 propagating at phase speeds of 318.2±6 ms-1 at surface level and between 308±5 to 319±4 ms-1 in the stratosphere, and gravity waves7 propagating at 238±3 to 269±3 ms-1 in the stratosphere. Gravity waves at sub-ionospheric heights have not previously been observed propagating at this speed or over the whole Earth from a single source8,9. Latent heat release from the plume remained the most significant individual gravity wave source worldwide for >12 hours, producing circular wavefronts visible across the Pacific basin in satellite observations. A single source dominating such a large region is also unique in the observational record. The Hunga Tonga eruption represents a key natural experiment in how the atmosphere responds to a sudden point-source-driven state change, which will be of use for improving weather and climate models.

Building storylines for applications: what have we learned in the EUCP project?

Copernicus Publications (2022)

Authors:

Fai Fung, Christopher Goddard, Carol McSweeney, Tom Crocker, Dominic Matte, Andrew Ballinger, Gabi Hegerl, Christopher O'Reilly, Antje Weisheimer, Karin Van der Wiel, Renate Wilcke

A Bayesian Approach to Atmospheric Circulation Regime Assignment

(2022)

Authors:

Swinda KJ Falkena, Jana de Wiljes, Antje Weisheimer, Theodore G Shepherd

Ambitious partnership needed for reliable climate prediction

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 12:6 (2022) 499-503

Authors:

Julia Slingo, Paul Bates, Peter Bauer, Stephen Belcher, Tim Palmer, Graeme Stephens, Bjorn Stevens, Thomas Stocker, Georg Teutsch

Skill of the Saudi-KAU CGCM in Forecasting ENSO and its Comparison with NMME and C3S Models

Earth Systems and Environment Springer Nature 6:2 (2022) 327-341

Authors:

Mansour Almazroui, Muhammad Azhar Ehsan, Michael K Tippett, Muhammad Ismail, M Nazrul Islam, Suzana J Camargo, Muhammad Adnan Abid, Enda O’Brien, Shahzad Kamil, Andrew W Robertson, Bohar Singh, Mahmoud Hussein, Vale Mohamed Omar, Ahmed Elsayed Yousef