Focus on cumulative emissions, global carbon budgets and the implications for climate mitigation targets
Environmental Research Letters IOP Publishing 13:1 (2018) 010201
Principles to guide investment towards a stable climate
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 8:1 (2018) 2-4
A real-time Global Warming Index.
Scientific Reports Nature Publishing Group 7:1 (2017) 15417
Abstract:
We propose a simple real-time index of global human-induced warming and assess its robustness to uncertainties in climate forcing and short-term climate fluctuations. This index provides improved scientific context for temperature stabilisation targets and has the potential to decrease the volatility of climate policy. We quantify uncertainties arising from temperature observations, climate radiative forcings, internal variability and the model response. Our index and the associated rate of human-induced warming is compatible with a range of other more sophisticated methods to estimate the human contribution to observed global temperature change.Assigning historical responsibilities for extreme weather events
Nature Climate Change Nature Publishing Group 7 (2017) 757-759
Abstract:
Recent scientific advances make it possible to assign extreme events to human-induced climate change and historical emissions. These developments allow losses and damage associated with such events to be assigned country-level responsibility.Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5 degrees C
NATURE GEOSCIENCE 10:10 (2017) 741-+